Photo: BRProud Stormtracker Team
(BRProud Stormtracker Team) Widespread showers and storms will be occurring just to the west over the Texas/Louisiana border and northern Louisiana on Tuesday.
These storms will eventually make their way eastward Tuesday night through Wednesday ahead of a cold front. Widespread to numerous severe storms are probable over portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. The Storm Prediction Center has placed areas near and north of the 10/12 corridors under a moderate risk (4/5) with an enhanced risk (3/5) elsewhere.
Threats:
All modes of severe weather will be a possibility where tornadoes and damaging winds look to be the main hazard. The area is placed under a hatched significant severe probability below: that means that strong tornadoes (EF2+) and damaging wind gusts 74mph+ are possible. Some large hail will also be a threat.
There will be a chance for heavy rainfall that could lead to isolated instances of flash flooding. The rain should be pretty fast-moving, but a quick 2-4″ of rainfall could occur which might cause some flooding concerns, especially for low-lying and poor drainage areas. The heaviest rain looks to remain near and north of the 10/12 corridors. A slight risk (2/4) for flash flooding is placed over most of the area.
Timing:
Scattered rain and a few storms will be possible late Tuesday night before the bulk of the rain and thunderstorms move in Wednesday morning. Storms should persist through the morning into the afternoon, eventually clearing from west to east into the evening. The best time frame for severe weather will between 7am-5pm for our area.